Quiz · 4 questions
🔄 Bayesian Frame: The Other Lens on the Same Puzzle
Prosecutor's fallacy, medical false positive, base rate neglect — all in their honest language
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Quiz
01In Bayes' theorem, what is the 'prior'?
02The prosecutor's fallacy in Bayesian language is the confusion of which two quantities?
03Why does base-rate neglect make medical screening results look more alarming than they are?
04What does Bayesian 'sequential updating' allow?
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