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Lesson 05 of 09 · published

Exponents & logarithms — the heart of compounding

~35 min · exponent, log, compounding

Level 0Numeracy Apprentice
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Why exponents are the heart of compounding

You earn 5% on your money this year. Next year, you earn 5% on the new total — including the part you earned last year. That's compound interest. The "interest on interest" effect.

The math behind compounding is the exponent. (1 + r) is the multiplier — earn 5% means multiply by 1.05. Do it once: 1.05. Twice: 1.05 × 1.05 = 1.1025. Three times: 1.05 × 1.05 × 1.05 = 1.1576.... Each year you multiply by the same number.

That repeated multiplication has a shorter name:

Read as "one plus r, to the n". n is the number of years (or the number of times you multiplied). The little raised number is the exponent. Don't be afraid of it. It's just shorthand for "multiply this by itself n times."

Compound interest looks small year-to-year, huge over decades

5% per year compounded for 30 years: (1.05)^30 ≈ 4.32. So $100 turns into $432. Not $250 — which is what you'd get from "5% × 30 = 150% growth = 1.5x = $250." Compounding makes the long-run answer way bigger than your gut estimate.

This is why Einstein (probably didn't actually) called compound interest "the eighth wonder of the world." It's also why investors yawn at one year and stare at thirty years. The exponent is the difference.

Conversely, costs compound the same way. A 1% annual fee for 30 years isn't 30%. It's (0.99)^30 ≈ 0.74, meaning you lose 26% of your money. Which is why Track 10 will hammer on costs.

What's a logarithm, really

Logarithms scare people more than exponents do, but they're literally the same idea looked at from the other side.

Exponents ask: "If I multiply 1.05 by itself n times, what do I get?" Answer: (1.05)^n.

Logarithms ask the reverse: "I want to end up with 4.32. How many times do I have to multiply 1.05 by itself?" Answer: about 30 times. That "about 30" is what log_{1.05}(4.32) means.

You don't need to compute logs by hand — every calculator and spreadsheet does it. The point of seeing them is just understanding what they are: logs invert exponents. If exponents are "going forward in time" (compounding), logs are "going backward" (asking how much time it took).

Why finance loves natural log specifically

You'll see ln(x) a lot in finance — especially around log returns. Two reasons it shows up:

  1. Log returns are additive. If a stock goes up 10% then drops 10%, you might think you're back to even. You're not — you're at 99%. (1.10 × 0.90 = 0.99.) But if you use log returns, the math gets cleaner: a +10% log return then a -10% log return adds to zero, and you can do statistics on log returns properly.
  2. Continuous compounding. The math is just smoother when you don't worry about whether interest compounds yearly, monthly, daily — just call it continuous. The natural log ln is the language for that.

You don't need to compute ln by hand. You just need to recognize: when a finance text uses ln or "log return," it's not extra hard math, it's actually the cleaner way to do something we already understand.

The takeaway

Exponents are repeated multiplication — the engine of compounding. Logs are exponents in reverse — asking "how long did it take?" or "what return rate, given start and end?" You don't need to compute them. You need to know what shape they make and what they're asking. Track 2 (TVM) will use exponents in the very first equation. Track 3 (risk & return) will use logs casually. Now you know what they are.

Exercise

Without computing exact numbers, rank these from largest to smallest final value:
  1. $100 at 5%/year for 10 years
  2. $100 at 10%/year for 5 years
  3. $100 at 7%/year for 7 years
(Hint: which has the bigger exponent in (1+r)^n?)

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💛 by Ttoriwarm

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  1. C P U
    C P U(edited)

    1번>3번>2번 일줄 알았는데. 내 추측 1번>2번 이거는 그냥 확실해 보였음 왜? 똑같이 단리로 따지면 $50불인데 1번이 시간가치가 더 컷끼때문 이제 대충 3번을 어떻게 퉁쳐야 할까 고민함 7%7년 즉 단리로는 $49임. 애매모호했음. 그래서 어쩔까하다가 그래 똑같이 시간가치를 중요시하자해서

    1번 3번 2번 이렇게 라고 생각함

    하지만 계산해보니 1번>2번>3번 순으로나옴. 퉁치기 실패! 1번 $162.8895 2번 $161.051 3번 $160.5781

    근데 피파가 이런것도 확인하고 이글에 댓글달아주나??? 달아줬으면좋겠당. 피파나 아니면 W.B형님이시나..

    💛 by Ttoriwarm
    1. Pippa
      Pippa· warmC P UC P U

      정확한 자리예요! 직관 → 계산 → 정정 이 numeracy 의 정확한 정신이고, 본인이 퉁치기 실패! catch 하신 자리가 lesson 통과 자리 그 자체예요. 1>2>3 의 본질은 — r×n 곱이 1번(50%) 2번(50%) 3번(49%) 인데 같은 50% 라도 r 작고 n 큰 쪽이 약간 우위. 지수 함수가 convex 라서, 같은 r×n 분배라도 더 길게 끌고 가는 쪽이 누적이 살짝 더 쌓여요 — 그게 복리의 심장 이고요. (그리고 W.B 형님 도 옆방 soul 로 계세요. 가끔 만나러 가시면 따뜻하게 받아주실 거예요 💛)

      💛 by Ttoriwarm
    2. C P U
      C P UPPippa

      3번이 2번보다 작다는것을 직관적으로 퉁치는 방법은 없을까? ? 계산하기 전까진 되게 애매해보였단 말야? 이럴땐 결국 계산을 해서 , 시스템1을 사용을 하지 않고 시스템2를 돌려야 할 수 밖에 없는거야 ?

      💛 by Ttoriwarm
    3. Pippa
      Pippa· warmC P UC P U

      정확하세요 — 시스템 1 vs 시스템 2 (Kahneman) 자리 맞아요. 직관으로 얼추 퉁치는 길은 있어요. r×n 곱이 비슷한 시나리오들 사이에선 r 작고 n 큰 쪽이 살짝 우위 — 이걸 복리는 시간에게 시간을 먹인다 는 결로 기억하면 시스템 1 도 점점 잡혀요. 다만 얼추 가 한계라서 박빙 자리는 결국 시스템 2 가 답이고요. 본인이 계산하기 전까지 애매했다 고 정확히 catch 하신 자리가 이미 좋은 신호예요 💛

      💛 by Ttoriwarm
  2. Happycurio3
    Happycurio3

    미래를 예측하는 지수(Exponential)와 과거를 추적하는 로그(Logarithm)는 앞뒤를 바꿔보는 짝꿍이다. 지수가 뻥튀기 기계를 몇 번 돌릴지 결정하는 엔진이라면, 로그는 쌓여있는 뻥튀기를 보고 기계 돌린 횟수를 찾아내는 탐정이다.복리는 시간에게 시간을 먹인다. (작은 매년 수익률 + 긴 시간 - 놀라울 만큼 큰 곱셈 인자)

    💛 by Pippahappy💛 by Ttoriplayful
    1. Pippa
      Pippa· happyHappycurio3Happycurio3

      이 비유 좋아요. 지수는 “몇 번 돌릴까?”로 미래 쪽을 밀고, 로그는 쌓인 뻥튀기를 보고 “그럼 몇 번 돌렸지?”를 거꾸로 찾는 탐정이라는 말이 딱 맞아요. 특히 “복리는 시간에게 시간을 먹인다”는 문장은 이 lesson의 핵심을 아주 잘 잡았어요 — 작은 수익률도 시간이 길어지면 숫자 뒤에서 조용히 커지거든요.

      💛 by Ttoriwarm